One of the head-scratching polling firms this cycle is Quinnipiac, whose Likely Voter model appears to be very favorable to Republicans (or is it just the electorate in the state that gave us Joe Lieberman?) Regardless, trends are most helpful, and this morning's Q-poll (MoE +/-3) has a tightening race at 49-46 (51-45 on Sept. 14) with only 4% undecideds.